Daily comments of stock market,essence of operating ideas.

Who scared the stock market dive?

Index at 11 am before the trend is welcome, low-opening after the shock all the way up, washed up on 3311 points, a strong clear; Shenzhen Component trend in the morning is make people happy, the highest point in rushing the 13 950 points from the previous high of 14,032 points, only one step away. May in all ecstatic when the market found some dramatic changes.

We have been looking for indicators of the sector, led by shares, “dwelling” for some time, hard to move up today, finally started up. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Construction Bank, Bank of China struggling to move up the morning, once together with their respective 20-day moving average to step on the foot. May at this time, in small cap stocks are suddenly big dive. Index of time-sharing from the chart you can see around 10:57, started strong upside white line, while the yellow line but turned down the straight to uphold the plant, two trend lines diverged greatly. In small cap stocks and index stocks, after all, even with the gas sticks, drag the yellow line of weakness has turned down the white line diving. However, in the course of diving, white line always adhere to the “steady” approach, the distance between the two lines was widening. Cut-off around 13:17, a difference between the rate of nearly 3% of the ups and downs.

Why is there such a trend does, I believe that this is mainly because of capital and private equity stock index move up by the warm atmosphere created by the profit-taking advantage of the opportunity, after all, pulled up when the ship than the decline of the much more convenient. Small cap stocks sell into corrections in the context of the recent surge in the stock GEM appeared violent adjustment, more than two units were sealed in the daily limit on. The author believes that although the current market strength, but do not have the quick move up consecutive terms, the management of macroeconomic policy theme of “stability and development”, then the stock market is essential for the “shock of rising” too extreme strong “Ji Fengnong machine” like the stock market was clearly contrary to the main tone, not surprising that the “good deed goes unpunished,” the.

It should be said, is the broader market or individual stocks should be rising, but rising too fast is not in tune with the environment, and therefore, sooner or later to be worn edges. The author believes that the adjustment is normal today, not to show too much concern, like Dubai a crisis, even though scary, but the days of Bu Zhiyu this end collapse. But still some people fear. This diving, frightened from this? The author believes that there are all terrified of the “flourishes” short-term psychological customers every day in trying to sell into corrections in the markets chase, does not seem to grasp a daily limit every day, psychological not comfortable. I believe that his mind is normal, but in the stock market is unlikely. Touching the same lottery, the first prize in the hope that everyone there, but really won the first prize, after all, only 1/10000000 probability, if by chance when necessary, only the same as the gamblers lose all its belongings. To know that it can grow only small water flow, it can be true only the dull, the stock market is only so by Buffett’s decades of accumulated wealth of the king, but seldom seen by the outbreak of the short term and the nouveaux riches .

Therefore, I believe that short-term wet storage can be appropriate to participate, but not have high expectations. The same as buying lottery tickets, and occasionally buy a few, but if all the family belongings were smashed into, then you squat on the street waiting to weep. Only the appropriate participation of short-term wet storage, only short-term ups and downs in the market very calm before the calm. Under the current market, I believe we should follow in two ideas: first, there must be large to avoid chasing stocks rise, these stocks at any time to bring powerful for their own funds; second choice is not certain Zhangfu resource stocks, stock trading and then slightly change the idea, from the short-term shift to the midline, followed by strengthening and inflation expectations were far exceeded the inflation rate of profit. Experts predict CPI data in November to positive, coal, nonferrous metals, real estate and other resource stocks as inflation expectations will certainly enhance the strength. Of course, this depends on how you think, if you think one day up to a point quickly, then tossing it to his indulgence.

Note: June hibernation McCain stock market, there is justification, please laugh. June hibernation sincerely wish you a nice weekend!

Reference reading:

Who is leading the trend for the end market?
Monday’s rally mean
did not occur in August tumbled four reasons why

Market four hot topic

What shares can select the maximum profit

Key to success for middle

Support the broader market to continue up the six reasons

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“Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war” has been the pursuit of: to retail investors find their own path to make money.

This is a book for individual investors to find their own

This is a book for individual investors sort out our thinking

This is a stronger book for retail

Hope this book help your stock market investments, sincerely wish you a Field Guide to the stock market like gold, like prime-time soaps!

Dangdang Order Address: Click Dangdang “retail Trader combat art of war”
Joyo Order Address: Click
Joyo “Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war”

The “actual retail Trader Strategy” This book has a question about a friend, please click
Trader actual retail area into the book Friends of the Art of War Forum Forum warm.

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November 13 Headlines

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1, IT Information Comment

1, NDRC: fuel surcharges domestic flights and aviation kerosene price linkage

To give full play to the role of market mechanism, reasonable changes to ease the domestic jet fuel prices affect the cost of air transport, the National Development and Reform Commission, Civil Aviation Authority issued notice to announce the air fuel surcharge for domestic flights and aviation kerosene price linkage mechanism.

Comments: The National People small, fuel surcharges imposed complex, passengers pay at least more than 20 yuan. Who declared the high-sounding, which is to protect the interests of consumers, I believe that only two favorable, one country, two coal companies. Taking a closer look, it is not see it, this message where the interests of the consumer protection?

2, China Merchants Securities more than 280,000 ballot numbers released, subscription funds unfrozen 13

Panorama News Network November 12 China Merchants Securities (600 999) today announced the initial public offering of A shares on-line purchase of funds in the ballot results released Yao Hao, ballot numbers are as follows:
Signed at the end of digit numbers in
The end of “2″ digit: 49
The end of “4″ digit: 9838
The end of “6″ digit: 242633,742633
End “7″ digits:
4579459,5829459,7079459,8329459,9579459,3329459,2079459,0829459
All online subscription Merchants Securities A shares held by investors who purchase with numbers ending with the numbers the same, compared with the ballot number. Ballot numbers a total of 286,800, each ballot numbers only 1,000 shares subscribed A shares of China Merchants Securities.
The final issue to determine the issue price of 31.00 yuan / share, not the sign of the online subscription price on November 13, 2009 returned to investors.

Comments: Some funds will be returned after thawing the secondary market, according to the habits of the Chinese investors, itchy hands on the money, that will naturally have a certain degree of optimism secondary market impact. Considering that most funds are long-term nest in a special hit the market shares, and therefore can not be overly optimistic.

3, the Securities Times: Under the margin will be a highlight

Today, the GEM has successfully launched and became the capital market in 2009 a great event, and preparations for a long time margin is expected to become the next market “key.”

Comments: print media, had become pawns Zuozhuang institutions.

4 star namesake collection and hot money accounts, Zhang Yimou on the asking rent 50000

Xu Fan, Deng Jie holding two film and television industry of Zhejiang Orient Star just rumors subsided, but the stock it’s yesterday found the one Qiuzu “Zhang Yimou”, “Zhang Ziyi” account the same name stars such as posts, the annual asking rent 50000 element.
The industry believes that the acquisition of the same name with the star is likely to be hot money which accounts for the purpose of effect of stock price manipulation by the star.
Lawyers are reminded investors, loan accounts to others to use prohibited by law, lenders may also act as the borrower’s commitment to joint criminal liability.

Comment: Ha ha, really boring!

5, Air Force Commander Hou Ningxuan cloth turn in their arms to surrender, not published within six months forecast

Two-year bull market share reform, creating a large number of dead bull, eventually long marked the fall of the commander; more than a year after the unilateral drop, but also created a large number of dead short, and now, “Air Force Commander,” Hou Ning has their arms up: statements within six months will not stock analysts. The evening of November 4, he wrote the article “China’s stock market rose on hopes the moon chasing the sun,” the last, made a solemn declaration, as follows: From today the November 4, 2009, the Hou Ning stock for at least six months, not two level to make any public such as market trends forecast, here, any name of “Hou Ning,” under the banner of the forecast are rumors. Hereby.

Comment: Haha, dead end, both long and short dead Budehaosi, we shareholders or arm yourself to have a mode of operation of their own, that is the case. Stock market, “Yue Buqun” and “Fur little knowledge is” too much to make a profit by around alarmist who, sooner or later to be the stock market’s big waves to drown.

6, Beijing taxi will be subject to 1 per passenger fuel surcharge

Xinhua Beijing on Nov. 11 (Xinhua Li Zhiyong) in response to fuel price fluctuations, Beijing taxi their prices and oil prices under the linkage mechanism, taxi passengers will be charged a dollar fuel surcharge.

Comment: sudden cold weather, Members should note that cold warm and will not let a cold Oh. Drug prices not fall down now, but oil prices go up, and also levy a fuel tax recovery. In this case, ride or drive to the hospital, may deficit larger.

7, Premier Wen: China to the positive trend of economic recovery continued to be consolidated

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said today that proved to tackle the financial crisis, China adopted a package of plans and policies and measures are timely, forceful, effective, current, positive trend of China’s economic recovery continued to be consolidated.

Comments: Premier Wen sing the Chinese economy, the author of the judge is not out yesterday afternoon. “How to get to the market needs to look at the three forces.”

8, around the market trends

HSI failed to Pullman yesterday a 15-month high of rally, the day Gaokaidizou, close close, the Hang Seng Index newspaper 22,397.57 points, down 229.64 points, or 1.02%; closing 3:00, U.S. stock markets overnight, Dow Jones index fell 0.54%, Nasdaq down 0.4%, Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 0.62%.

Comments: Hang Seng Index are back to step 5 moving average, a successful return to step 5, the Dow Jones average, normal adjustments, do not be too worried.

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Second, institutional point of view selection

1, the World based investment: inflation expectations increased focus on agriculture plate

Expected strength in the external market, the domestic economy and other positive factors to promote the improvement, the broader market turbulence, rising trend will continue. But hot spots have not yet succeeded in the market to switch, we recommend investors concerned about inflation benefit section of the subject shares. Based on historical experience, in mild conditions, inflation, coal, petroleum, nonferrous metals and other resource-based industries, financial sector, agricultural products and some consumer goods industry will clearly benefit.

2, Beijing’s first card: some late fall, the kinetic energy is still up

The tape market outlook, as long as the hot plate and move up heavyweights join forces, upward trend will not change. Operation, short-term gains for the larger theme of shares may be appropriate trimming rallies, focusing on the fundamentals support and short-term gains are relatively small units.

3, times the new consultation: a process should be market weakening

Broader market finished lower today, a pattern emerged, which is consistent with the expectations of this column, the volume of the enlarged illustration of a market selling pressure increased. Diving heavy volume intraday situation occurs always remind us of the need to guard against any possible adjustment of broader market pressure, taking into account the blue chips had not decent performance, the market adjusted cumulative pressure and systemic risks, and not too much, so the future tape really into the adjustment process must also be defined as the technical phase adjustment. Judging from the trend, the trend of the support force will not quickly disappear, and the parties will not immediately concede defeat, will certainly be competition for the period, we observed the gradual weakening of the sight will be.

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3, June hibernation Emphasis

Determine the medium-term upward trend in the same short-term interest 5 MA, more concerned about the price-earnings ratio stocks.

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Note: June hibernation comment information, justification, please laugh.

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“Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war,” published about a month, have been printed four times and still have many friends that did not get the book. Press the recent rush fifth printing, wants to buy those as soon as possible.

This is a book for individual investors to find their own

This is a book for individual investors sort out our thinking

This is a stronger book for retail

Hope this book help your stock market investments, sincerely wish you a Field Guide to the stock market like gold, like prime-time soaps!

Dangdang Order Address: Click Dangdang “retail Trader combat art of war”

Joyo Order Address: Click
Joyo “Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war”

The “actual retail Trader Strategy” This book has a question about a friend, please click
Trader actual retail area into the book Friends of the Art of War Forum Forum warm.

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December 16 Headlines

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1, IT Information Comment

1,8 GEM home subscription of new shares today
This eight companies, the issue price is the highest straight flush, 52.8 yuan; issue price of the lowest Dragon Optical, as 18.18 yuan. Issue price-earnings ratio is the highest electrical and mechanical dragon, up 126.67 times; Issue lowest price-earnings ratio is the Branch Electric, to 59.02 times. The second batch of eight GEM’s average price-earnings ratio to 83.59 times the issue, a new high.

Comments: (1) Issue price-earnings ratio is too high, the secondary market for premium space will naturally be reduced, therefore, high price-earnings ratio of stocks, not worth too enthusiastically; (2) If a purchase is to buy lottery market , how many there are points of the components, then the secondary market when the new shares to buy just listed, just throw the same coin, the game was entirely gambler; (3) GEM primary market has been spoiled management , and the name of “business” risk in the name of blatantly seeking misappropriating. In contrast, the Main Board of a market it very worthwhile; and (4) intensive IPO is bound to attract long-term stay at a selected group of strategic investment institutions in a market, but did not return to the meaning of the secondary market. Recent Fund issued faster, the market did not see much atmospheric color, will afford all went to a market to go up.

2, three new shares this market, cash is not wrong to play new shares

Today, China’s heavy industry (601,989), Strait of shares (002 320), Wah Ying agriculture (002,321), etc. 3 new shares will be traded, the investor can check the date of earnings, consider the cash for the subscription start date of issuance of the 8 board make financial preparations for new shares.

Comments: Ibid.

3, Sina topic: The expansion era

Sina recently edited a special plan, to the current market is defined as the “big expansion era.” Sina is one of China’s major Internet media, its market influence is very strong. In planning this project, Sina published three major information: first, the Central Economic Work Conference: Capital markets actively expand direct financing; second, Shang Fulin: give full play to the capital market for economic services; Third, financial crisis, anniversary of the stock market financing and the economic cycle.

Comments: this is dedicated to planning, we can see that the current IPO is the history of the speed and density of rare, re-financing even more savage than the IPO. Moreover, this situation seems to take some time. Management keen to make the stock market to play its role of direct financing, while the market up to prevent and slow down the speed, on the other hand, we can also think about the side, since the management of the financing role to play the stock market will naturally maintain the market stability. Therefore, I believe that this topic Sina planning can actually map out the main tone of the market outlook, the stock market: the shock slowly rise.

4, since the resumption of China Merchants Securities IPO into the first only “break” shares

Following the plate below the issue price of 14, the China Merchants Securities on the 15th continued to fall, closing at 30.81 yuan, becoming the first since the resumption of just below the IPO issue price of the stock. To remind the industry, 8 GEM companies today purchase, investors should enhance risk prevention awareness, take account of “playing the new” risk and a prudent investment.

Comments: The issue price earnings ratio on high, do not break it would be strange. According to the current development trends, in particular the GEM Listing not likely break a few days there will be a phenomenon.

5 U.S. stocks close: Dow down 49 points the Nasdaq fell 11 points

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 49.05 points to 10,452.00 points, down 0.47%; the Nasdaq composite index fell 11.05 points to 2201.05 points, or 0.50%; Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 6.18 points , to 1107.93 points, or 0.55%.

Comments: shock pattern goes on.

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Second, institutional point of view selection

1, CITIC Securities: from recovery to prosperity

In December this year to the next 4,5 month, A-share market environment will be more optimistic. During the GDP, corporate performance will quickly rebound, CPI upward inflection point in the event, the funds will be presented on a positive stimulus. Expected net profit growth of listed companies next year, 25%, consider comparison with other assets, the Shanghai index hit a high of 4500 points possible. The second quarter of next year, mid-market may enter the sensitive stage of the year will show “N” shape change.

2, National Cheng investment: expected to repeated shocks, trends are still positive

Tuesday tape have certain callback is a rapid rise in the broader market yesterday afternoon, a technical amendment, the inevitable short-term shocks, but the medium-term trend continues to improve, and tape consolidation platform, is expected to rely on the 5th MA shocks climbed, for yesterday has been Admission to the investors in terms of bargain hunting, short-term volatility should not be afraid to continue to be holding up, and wet storage of investors bargain hunting layout, focus on the commercial department stores, hotels and tourism, chemical and chemical fiber plate of investment opportunities.

3, Ningbo Shun: broader market situation is still sensitive, concerned about the hot stock trend

We believe that the current market situation is still sensitive to the direction of the trend because he is not clear, but in recent days around the 10th line of the market fluctuate up and down, more the performance characteristics or panel order, as the broader market after the shock location where to go, will be subject to the constraints related to hot plates, particularly heavyweight blue chips such as a whole can be crucial in the recent strong rise; market performance statistics from the last few days, heavyweight blue chips back in the existence of signs of active funds, However, different units, the plates not being able to form a truly joint force. In this context, then a few days of market estimates also showed strong shock characteristics, operation, proposed to maintain the appropriate flexibility, stocks differentiation potential uncertainty or necessary to make a focus on prevention.

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3, June hibernation Emphasis

Oscillation pattern is sustained, medium-term upward pattern is a continuous. Article 3 message from this paper, which is the topic of Sina planning point of view, the management wants to use stock to complete the task of financing, the decision in this regard will be difficult for the market short term there is a big improvement, market expansion is bound to affect the market large to do and more popular; the other hand also gives us enough confidence, at least management is to maintain a stable pattern of the market. As the director hopes to create a noisy atmosphere to attract the same audience, the management would not want the stock market is too lonely, so lost their “high fare, low-return” and “audience.”

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Note: June hibernation comment information, justification, please laugh.

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“Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war” has been the pursuit of: to find their own individual road to make money!

This is a book for individual investors to find their own

This is a book for individual investors sort out our thinking

This is a stronger book for retail

Hope this book help your stock market investments, sincerely wish you a Field Guide to the stock market like gold, like prime-time soaps!

Dangdang Order Address: Click Dangdang “retail Trader combat art of war”

Joyo Order Address: Click
Joyo “Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war”

The Curse of the Shanghai index line

This is not belated, it is the software I have saved a trend line, I also repeated in the text with friends, said the wire. Plunge in August 2009 after the Shanghai index has been subject to the root of the trend line, yesterday Gaokaidizou more fully shows the magic of the line. Look back and say that this thread is the curse of the line card index is also not an exaggeration. Decent price you want out of the market, we must overcome this curse of the root line. Washed off from the previous two failed, the market wants to curse the line across the root, there must be real good and is sudden introduction. Even if the stock index futures and margin trading, and yesterday’s 100 point of Zhang Yin told us that stock index futures and margin positive side to play its role, probably even before the first dig a pit. As a rational point, stock index futures and margin trading is neutral in this message. The last two trading days, the market should drop down a bit.

For the recent market, the author’s point of view is still this:

First, the recent IPO, so I feel more and more sick and tired of high price-earnings ratio is on the one hand, is more serious is a lot of garbage companies have also infiltrated the stock market, and many are the lions large openings, like we retail is Like their cake, wishing someone took all of us eat;

Second, the stock index futures and margin trading, I have a neutral attitude, that is, that it is necessary to do improve the securities market, like two married men and women as necessary to enter the bridal chamber. However, the problem is that our stock market is just developing, a bunch of knowledge failed to take to master, how can imitate adults too, like every family does? The West must have seen a lot of small movies. I just reminded to guard against the impulse of the punishment;

Third, the author of the current market does not look empty, on the contrary, the author of the medium-term trend of the market has maintained a positive attitude. However, the current difficult market operations, margin trading and stock index futures will be more difficult to enlarge the retail operation. Does not require much time, the Shanghai index would lose its meaning, we need to do is hold onto the one-third of their land acre. That is, Lengnuanzizhi, wearing little more than clothes, go out with no umbrella, depending on their own observations, but not too much to see how others do.

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Note: McCain stock market in June hibernation, there is justification, please laugh.

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“Retail operator instead of actual combat art of war” has been the pursuit of: to find their own individual road to make money!

This is a book for individual investors to find their own

This is a book for individual investors sort out our thinking

This is a stronger book for retail

Hope this book help your stock market investments, sincerely wish you a Field Guide to the stock market like gold, like prime-time soaps!

Dangdang Order Address: Click Dangdang “retail Trader combat art of war”
Joyo Order Address: Click Joyo “retail Trader combat art of war”